Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.001347 0.001507 0.001666 0.001837 0.002014 0.002192 0.002384
2025-10-19 0.001086 0.001317 0.001553 0.001813 0.002088 0.002370 0.002679
2025-10-26 0.000878 0.001160 0.001457 0.001791 0.002152 0.002526 0.002942
2025-11-02 0.000707 0.001025 0.001373 0.001771 0.002208 0.002668 0.003184
2025-11-09 0.000570 0.000916 0.001305 0.001761 0.002269 0.002809 0.003421
2025-11-16 0.000460 0.000826 0.001252 0.001760 0.002334 0.002951 0.003655
2025-11-23 0.000368 0.000748 0.001205 0.001761 0.002398 0.003088 0.003879
2025-11-30 0.000320 0.000721 0.001215 0.001824 0.002528 0.003295 0.004178
2025-12-07 0.000248 0.000652 0.001169 0.001819 0.002577 0.003410 0.004374
2025-12-14 0.000174 0.000569 0.001100 0.001781 0.002587 0.003478 0.004516
2025-12-21 0.000138 0.000536 0.001091 0.001815 0.002675 0.003632 0.004751
2025-12-28 0.000094 0.000483 0.001052 0.001808 0.002715 0.003731 0.004922
2026-01-04 0.000049 0.000422 0.001014 0.001818 0.002797 0.003900 0.005201
2026-01-11 0.000012 0.000350 0.000955 0.001802 0.002847 0.004036 0.005444
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000285 0.000897 0.001784 0.002896 0.004169 0.005685
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000226 0.000842 0.001767 0.002942 0.004298 0.005922
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000178 0.000797 0.001759 0.002998 0.004437 0.006168
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000139 0.000760 0.001759 0.003062 0.004585 0.006423
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000106 0.000726 0.001762 0.003127 0.004732 0.006676
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000095 0.000737 0.001825 0.003267 0.004967 0.007028
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000067 0.000701 0.001820 0.003320 0.005097 0.007258
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000036 0.000645 0.001783 0.003330 0.005175 0.007428
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000026 0.000638 0.001816 0.003429 0.005358 0.007717